Dr. Alan Andrews stated that when a median line (the white center line) is drawn, from the most recent swings, the price should return to the medain line 80% of the time. This median line can be used as a target objective where the market will often form a new pivot. October Cattle first tested the median line on July… read more
Tag Archives: swing trading strategies
Swing Trading Strategies – Sept Eurocurrency forms a bearish reaction swing, but is it time to sell? [chart]
After completing a bullish reaction cycle on the August 8th reversal date, September Eurocurrency has been in a downward price swing. The euro has posted two consecutive higher closes following several closes below the 20- day EMA. The corrective rally appears to be a bearish reaction swing and could be forming a new sell pattern. A trade below the August… read more
Swing Trading Strategies – T-Bonds reach target objective on projected reversal date. What’s next? [chart]
September Treasury bonds reached the target objective at 134-00, on the projected reversal/reaction date. In a classic “action-reaction’ fashion, the market reached the projected price level on the predicted reversal/reaction date. This is a good time to take a look back to see how the target objective and reversal/reaction date could have been identified two weeks earlier. The… read more
Reversal dates for the week of August 16 – August 20
Monday – Coffee Tuesday – Wheat Wednesday – Heating oil, Eurocurrency Thursday – RBOB gas Friday – Cattle, Feeder Cattle, Hogs, Soybeans, Crude oil, Silver, Canadian dollar… read more
Swing Trading Strategies – Can Time and Price target objectives be projected in advance? By John Crane [chart]
On August 3rd, August Hogs traded at a new three month high, reaching 87.57, before reversing and closing as an “outside day” price bar with a negative close. The next day, the market collapsed and closed limit-down. Could the time and price of this significant high have been predicted? To answer this question, lets take a look at the ‘action/reaction” time and… read more
Swing Trading Strategies – Does the Canadian dollar still have room to run? [chart]
The Canadian dollar finished Tuesday’s projected reversal/reaction day (projected by using the reverse count form July 9 back to the low on June 24, with the forward count beginning on July 20.) with an “inside day” price bar. An “inside day”, on a reversal/reaction day, is considered a continuation pattern. Wednesday’s price action is also… read more
Swing Trade Strategies – After completing the bearish reaction cycle, what is next for the Gold? [chart]
Gold completed the long-term bearish reaction cycle when it reached the downside target objecitve of $1156.90 on the July 28 reversal date. This date had been projected 7 days earlier, after Gold had completed the TC (trend continuation) pattern with a lower close on July 16. Using the newly confirmed TC pattern, a reverse/forward count was done with… read more
Swing Trading Strategy – Wheat hits target objective on predicted Reversal date. What’s next? [chart]
On June 29, September Wheat traded lower and closed at $4.57. This close was inside the 60% buy window that had began at $4.58 1/2. The following day, Wheat opened steady before surging higher and closing above the previous three closes. This higher close confirmed the June 29 low as the (D) pivot low. At the same time,… read more
Swing Trading Strategies – Long Coffee signal reaches target objective! A follow up to the July 23rd blog! [chart]
In the July 23, 2010 issue of the TMV Swing Trading Report, I made a recommendation to buy Coffee at 162.05. (See the July 23 post in this blog) The buy signal was triggered following the completion of a five-wave continuation pattern and ended on the July 21…a projected reversal date. The buy signal was triggered on… read more
Swing Trading Strategies – Action-Reaction makes accurate Gold projections, here is how! [chart]
As the August Gold futures contract trades at a new twelve week low and tests the reaction line target objective (currently at $1155.90) on a projected reversal date, I think it would be a good time to look back and see how this reversal date and target objective were determined, several days in advance. To begin, I will go… read more